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| Incidental Weakness Ahead of CPI Data | ||
| 1/12/2026 3:16 PM | ||
| Incidental Weakness Ahead of CPI Data Bonds were marginally weaker on Monday with no obvious scapegoats in sight. Some reporters pointed toward Fed Chair Powell"s criminal inquiry as rattling the market, but bonds were effectively unchanged in the 1pm hour after a well-received 10yr Treasury auction. ...Read More | ||
| Mortgage Rates Inch Higher From 3 Year Lows | ||
| 1/12/2026 2:44 PM | ||
| Mortgage rates are either higher or lower today, depending on the lender in question. Some lenders raised rates on Friday afternoon in response to weakness in the bond market (lenders set rates based on the trading levels of MBS, the bonds that underlie the mortgage market). Those lenders are actually slightly lower today. Lenders who didn"t raise...Read More | ||
| ICE Experience, AI Webinar, LOS, Inside Sales, BBYS, DSCR Products; Is a Cap on Credit Cards Possible? | ||
| 1/12/2026 10:46 AM | ||
| The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reports that the median age of first-time homebuyers has increased significantly, reaching 40 years old, compared to 29 years old in 1981. Not only that, but first-time home buyer share has fallen to a historic low of 21 percent. If you’re a lender, do you have the products in your arsenal to take advantag...Read More | ||
| Bond Market Only Marginally Interested in Powell Drama For Now | ||
| 1/12/2026 9:29 AM | ||
| The most important-sounding news over the weekend was last night"s subpoena of Fed Chair Powell over statements made to congress regarding the Fed"s building renovations. Bond yields were slightly higher this morning and commentators erroneously connected those dots. There was actually no meaningful movement in either direction when the news hit, b...Read More | ||
| Wild Ride For MBS as Traders Digest New Developments | ||
| 1/9/2026 3:16 PM | ||
| Wild Ride For MBS as Traders Digest New Developments We may have been looking to the jobs report as this week"s biggest potential source of volatility, but that changed on Thursday afternoon after Trump"s $200bln MBS buying announcement. Treasuries have only been able to watch from the sidelines. At one poi...Read More | ||
| Rates Plummet to 3 Year Lows, But There Are Caveats | ||
| 1/9/2026 12:56 PM | ||
| On a week where the mortgage market was most likely to experience volatility due to Friday"s jobs report, Thursday afternoon"s surprise announcement of $200bln in GSE MBS (mortgage-backed securities) buying stole the show. This was already juicing the underlying MBS market yesterday afternoon, but traders took the surge to the next level this morni...Read More | ||
| What"s Up With The New MBS Buying Announcement and The Massive Reaction in The Market? | ||
| 1/9/2026 10:12 AM | ||
| On Thursday afternoon with less than an hour left to trade, Trump announced he would be directing his representatives to buy $200bln in mortgage-backed securities (MBS). No matter what one"s personal opinions may be regarding bold announcements from the President, this one is definitely serious. How do we know? First off, if you don"t w...Read More | ||
| PHH Webinar Series; Agencies to Buy One Month"s Worth of Production - Similar to 2020; In-Person Events for 2026 | ||
| 1/9/2026 10:10 AM | ||
| A frequent topic in this Commentary is how lenders are responsible for only a small portion of the affordability issue. A big hit to affordability is insurance, and thank you to Kevin K. for passing along this story focused on fire resilience and home upgrades and how they may address insurance costs. Trying to plan for natural events is a full-tim...Read More | ||
| Fairly Tame Jobs Report, MBS Have Magic Armor Either Way | ||
| 1/9/2026 7:40 AM | ||
| The jobs report came out mixed with payrolls falling 10k short of the 60k forecast and the unemployment rate ticking down to 4.4% vs a 4.5% forecast. The unemployment rate decline is mitigated somewhat by the decline in labor force participation. All in all, this is not a lopsided report with any chance of sparking a rapid move in bonds. ...Read More | ||
| Mostly Quiet Ahead of Friday"s Jobs Report | ||
| 1/8/2026 3:27 PM | ||
| Mostly Quiet Ahead of Friday"s Jobs Report Bonds lost a bit of ground on Thursday with most of the weakness seen in the overnight session in sympathy with European bond market weakness. The rest of the selling followed a stronger weekly jobless claims report. That said, we wouldn"t give the data all t...Read More | ||